Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.079472 2.407962 2.769153 3.195453 3.684554 4.227867 4.876913
2025-02-23 1.527541 1.933035 2.417443 3.037655 3.809570 4.737573 5.936900
2025-03-02 1.143074 1.564643 2.106420 2.851374 3.846649 5.127905 6.899842
2025-03-09 0.931664 1.368079 1.966686 2.843590 4.090804 5.795791 8.297629
2025-03-16 0.751143 1.176464 1.795677 2.756639 4.203182 6.290785 9.521577
2025-03-23 0.672010 1.115117 1.795486 2.906978 4.666346 7.329734 11.649124
2025-03-30 0.595619 1.042887 1.764382 3.000321 5.049273 8.289992 13.775385
2025-04-06 0.516911 0.952175 1.687709 3.005096 5.285641 9.043067 15.661085
2025-04-13 0.426567 0.825368 1.530266 2.848184 5.226480 9.301267 16.756053
2025-04-20 0.388562 0.786007 1.517562 2.939172 5.601951 10.326387 19.267233
2025-04-27 0.363403 0.766361 1.536683 3.088478 6.097462 11.611811 22.379194
2025-05-04 0.331246 0.727424 1.513145 3.152107 6.438139 12.650966 25.152585
2025-05-11 0.297500 0.681246 1.471712 3.180764 6.726843 13.648656 28.011157
2025-05-18 0.257439 0.614865 1.379657 3.093635 6.773757 14.189006 30.051895
2025-05-25 0.218215 0.543394 1.265858 2.943333 6.668395 14.411721 31.478534
2025-06-01 0.197137 0.510262 1.230558 2.958519 6.916368 15.382141 34.558499
2025-06-08 0.172516 0.464235 1.159110 2.881476 6.950362 15.904947 36.747408
2025-06-15 0.165910 0.462132 1.189876 3.046585 7.554037 17.725337 41.971673
2025-06-22 0.156073 0.449945 1.194453 3.149220 8.024612 19.301960 46.825776
2025-06-29 0.142252 0.424639 1.162624 3.157153 8.268754 20.390126 50.681026
2025-07-06 0.122078 0.378020 1.069068 2.994233 8.070215 20.423334 52.062074
2025-07-13 0.115506 0.369295 1.074272 3.090691 8.539885 22.102288 57.584519
2025-07-20 0.111790 0.368414 1.100693 3.247998 9.187252 24.284881 64.580486